Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.275123 0.326361 0.383687 0.452462 0.532614 0.622952 0.732366
2024-10-20 0.201059 0.269339 0.354552 0.468170 0.615091 0.798004 1.042250
2024-10-27 0.151630 0.227447 0.332090 0.485678 0.703681 1.000027 1.430933
2024-11-03 0.113724 0.189685 0.304818 0.489389 0.774461 1.193706 1.851090
2024-11-10 0.091987 0.169051 0.296199 0.516793 0.883961 1.462450 2.430878
2024-11-17 0.072566 0.146226 0.277872 0.523741 0.962210 1.697903 3.004707
2024-11-24 0.055541 0.122336 0.251224 0.509391 1.000638 1.874631 3.514513
2024-12-01 0.040166 0.096686 0.214343 0.466756 0.978272 1.941143 3.844889
2024-12-08 0.032476 0.084664 0.200901 0.465854 1.033216 2.154839 4.474933
2024-12-15 0.025627 0.072285 0.183332 0.451831 1.058210 2.314566 5.027581
2024-12-22 0.019458 0.059437 0.161144 0.421947 1.042746 2.389609 5.422734
2024-12-29 0.016579 0.054313 0.156037 0.430478 1.113887 2.655948 6.254459
2025-01-05 0.013750 0.048593 0.148582 0.433401 1.177463 2.927407 7.166522
2025-01-12 0.011948 0.045386 0.147179 0.452300 1.285782 3.322690 8.429821
2025-01-19 0.010414 0.042477 0.145894 0.471638 1.400659 3.756269 9.860161
2025-01-26 0.008758 0.038448 0.140061 0.476697 1.479588 4.118524 11.185779
2025-02-02 0.007857 0.036861 0.141553 0.504357 1.627797 4.682092 13.101829
2025-02-09 0.006703 0.033736 0.136920 0.511708 1.719745 5.116675 14.763728
2025-02-16 0.005428 0.029450 0.126732 0.497994 1.745920 5.380287 16.024697
2025-02-23 0.004061 0.023952 0.109949 0.456434 1.675514 5.363371 16.529475
2025-03-02 0.003423 0.021654 0.104892 0.455659 1.737059 5.735828 18.175680
2025-03-09 0.002779 0.018935 0.097044 0.441988 1.752209 5.974287 19.479878
2025-03-16 0.002142 0.015818 0.086152 0.412749 1.705862 6.016933 20.218599